Skip to main content
The Curious Case of First-Round Scottie: Why the World's Best Keeps Digging Holes — Then Climbing Out
News

The Curious Case of First-Round Scottie: Why the World's Best Keeps Digging Holes — Then Climbing Out

Back to blog
Scottie SchefflerPGA Tourmental gameGenesis Invitational

Something strange is happening to the best golfer on Earth.

At the WM Phoenix Open, Scottie Scheffler opened with a 2-over 73 — his first over-par round in eight months, snapping a streak of 33 consecutive rounds at par or better. At Pebble Beach, he posted an even-par 72 on Thursday, putting himself ten shots behind the leader before the weekend even started. And at the Genesis Invitational, he was 5-over through 10 holes when darkness mercifully suspended play on Thursday, sitting dead last in the 72-man field without a single birdie.

Three tournaments. Three ugly opening rounds. And here's the thing that makes Scheffler unlike almost anyone who has ever played the game: it hasn't mattered.

The Bounce-Back Machine

At Phoenix, Scheffler followed that opening 73 with a bogey-free 64 on Sunday — seven birdies, including a 72-foot hole-out at the 14th — to claw back to T-3. He finished one stroke shy of a playoff, one stroke from what would have been his third Phoenix Open title.

At Pebble Beach, it was even more absurd. Starting the final round seven shots off the pace, Scheffler made three eagles on Sunday, firing a 9-under 63 that put the entire leaderboard on notice. Had he not dropped three bogeys on the back side, he might have stolen the whole thing. He finished T-4, extending his streak of consecutive top-10 finishes to 19.

Let those numbers sink in. In two consecutive weeks, Scheffler dug himself into deep holes on Thursday, then played his Sunday rounds in a combined 15-under par. That's not normal. That's not even close to normal.

Why Thursdays Have Gone Wrong

The natural question is: what's happening on Thursdays? The easy answer is rust. Scheffler opened his 2026 season at The American Express in January with a blistering first-round 63 and ran away with the tournament. He looked like Scheffler at his most dominant — the version that won seven times in 2024 and claimed his second Masters.

But since then, the opening rounds have been a mess. At Phoenix, it was the driver. At Pebble Beach, he simply couldn't get anything going in benign conditions while others went low. At Riviera, cold rain and brutal wind made things worse, but Scheffler was struggling before the weather turned.

There are a few possible explanations. One is the Signature Event format itself. With only 72-man fields and no cut pressure in the traditional sense, there's arguably less urgency to start fast. Scheffler has said himself that you can't win a tournament on Thursday — and his results have proven that he can absolutely lose one by trying to force things early.

Another is the simple reality of rest weeks. Scheffler doesn't grind the schedule. He picks his spots, takes time off, and accepts that the first round back might be choppy. For most players, this would be a death sentence. For Scheffler, it's just a slow warm-up before the real show starts.

What Makes the Comebacks So Remarkable

The most revealing stat isn't the bad Thursdays. It's what comes after.

Most tour pros, when they open 5 or 6 shots off the pace, go into survival mode. They play for the weekend, try to salvage a decent finish, and move on. Scheffler does the opposite. He gets better as the week goes on, treating Friday through Sunday like a separate tournament — one he fully intends to win.

This is what separates truly elite players from merely great ones. Tiger Woods was famous for it. Jack Nicklaus built a career on it. The ability to look at a bad round, process it honestly, make the adjustment, and then play your absolute best golf when it counts most — that's not a skill you can teach. It's a competitive wiring that exists in maybe five players per generation.

Scheffler's final-round scoring average in 2026 is borderline absurd. When it matters most, when the pressure is highest and the leaderboard is tightest, he elevates. A 64 on Sunday at Phoenix. A 63 on Sunday at Pebble Beach. Those aren't good rounds — they're rounds that would lead the field on any given day, at any tournament, anywhere in the world.

What Amateurs Can Actually Learn From This

Here's where this becomes relevant beyond "Scottie Scheffler is really good at golf," which we already knew.

Stop trying to win it on the first tee. The number-one mistake recreational golfers make is coming out of the gate swinging for the fences. You haven't hit a ball in competitive conditions for a week. Your tempo is off, your touch around the greens is cold, and your course management is running on memory rather than feel. Accept that the first few holes are about finding your game, not forcing it.

A bad start is just a bad start. Most amateurs mentally quit after a rough front nine. They start pressing, making riskier decisions, and compounding mistakes. Scheffler's approach is the opposite: he stays patient, trusts his process, and waits for the golf course to give him opportunities. Your best holes are almost never your first holes. Play your way into the round.

Adjustments matter more than talent. What Scheffler does between rounds — studying his stats, identifying what went wrong, making targeted practice adjustments — is the real reason he bounces back. He doesn't just show up Friday hoping things will be different. He makes them different. Even at the amateur level, spending 20 minutes on the range after a bad round working on the specific thing that went wrong is more valuable than grinding for two hours on your "full game."

The round you finish with defines you, not the round you start with. If you shoot 48-40 for an 88, that's the same score as 44-44 — but the guy who finished strong has all the momentum heading into next week. Finishing well is a habit. So is collapsing. Choose which one you practice.

Where This Goes From Here

Scheffler still has three rounds left at Riviera as of this writing, and if history is any guide, don't be surprised if he's in contention by Sunday afternoon. The 100th playing of the Genesis Invitational at one of golf's most iconic venues would be a fitting stage for another patented Scheffler comeback.

But even if it doesn't happen this week, the larger trend is clear: Scottie Scheffler in 2026 is a slow starter who becomes the most dangerous player in the world once he finds his rhythm. For his competitors, that should be terrifying. Because the only thing worse than playing against someone who starts fast is playing against someone who starts slow and still nearly wins every week.

The bad Thursdays might be a flaw. The Sundays that follow? Those are a feature.